Keeping the blogosphere posted on the goings on of the world of submarines since late 2004... and mocking and belittling general foolishness wherever it may be found. Idaho's first and foremost submarine blog. (If you don't like something on this blog, please E-mail me; don't call me at home.)

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

Future Submarine Force Numbers

[Intel Source: The Sub Report] There's a very interesting article from January of this year, reprinted at the MOAA website, discussing the future of the submarine force from a "shipbuilding plans" perspective. I don't have time to dissect it completely right now (I have to get into work really early almost every day this week) but hope to do so tonight. The one thing that jumped out at me was the author's opinion that Congress won't authorize any more Virginia-class boat past SSN 783. I think he's wrong, but the rest of the article seems to ring true, so that concerns me.

Here's what he has to say about the options for future SSBNs:

The 313-ship fleet is to retain 14 SSBN until the mid-2020s replacement SSBN(X) will be required to enter production at a one-per-year rate to replace existing "Ohio" class boats. One future option would be to reduce the number to 10, with the oldest four being converted to SSGN configuration. The size would likely be twice that of a SSN-774 and likely accommodate only 17 TRIDENT D-5 (including future conventional warhead versions), but have some provision for cruise missiles and Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUV), using a hull based on SSN-774 or its replacement. Navy estimates costs at US$3.6Bn, but this will be more likely in the range of US$6.2Bn each.

More later...

Update 0036 07 June: Didn't get around to it tonight. Maybe tomorrow...


Anonymous Anonymous said...

They made 446 1120s in YG03. SSN fleet will shrink to 42 subs by 2018, around the time YG03 goes to command. Roughly 14 command spots are available to each year group (1/3 of SSN fleet size).

14/446=3.17% of YG03 1125s will go to command on fast-boats.

Yikes...I know JO retention is bad, but it ain't THAT bad. DH/XO/CO select rates are going to be abysmal for YG03. In fact, the projected DH select rate for YG01 is already down to 75%. Better not blow off that "collecting unemployment" training at the Fleet and Family Support center fellas...

6/07/2006 1:53 AM

Blogger PigBoatSailor said...

...Or train up and become an "acquisition professional" flavor of 1120 ;-)

6/07/2006 4:39 AM


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